02/12/2014

URMĂRIȚI GENERAL

Radu Praznaglava, Vlad Vintilă, Radu Paisie, Vlad Înecatul...dacă ii cunoașteți postați un comentariu...DACĂ NU, vă spun eu că au fost voievozi ai Tarilor Romane, iar istoria ii menționează doar ca informație statistică (!!!)
NEA MINCEA "GEAMGIUL"! Știu, nu a purtat vreo coroană regală, ci doar cea mai dulce "povară"...de a iubi Rapidul!
"VOIEVOZILOR" DE AZI ȘI MAI ALES DE IERI LE SPUN ATÂT: CUM OARE VREȚI RAPIDUL SA VĂ ȚINĂ MINTE?...vă rog, nu îmi răspundeți mie, priviți mai bine în oglindă...by david constantine

AMR206

nu vreau să pun paie pe foc deloc! nu vreau să fiu pe primul loc! vreau doar să știi că Rapid nu-i un breloc să-l ții să te vadă alții! este iubire fără pretenții, punct și virgulă eternității!...TE ȚINE?! HAI CU MINE DIN NOAPTEA ASTA ÎN ZORI DE ZILE! by david constantine

24/03/2014

RAPIDUL ARE UN NOU PATRON

Comisarul MOLDOVAN este noul sef din Giulesti. 

Viorel Moldovan a incheiat negocierile...Zamfir si Cristescu sunt istorie...
Noii actionari si Viorel Moldovan vor face publica incheierea tranzactiei la ora 19.00-19.30...
surprizele in actionariatul Rapidului nu vor foarte mari...ne reintalnim cu:
Viorel Moldovan-arhitectul renasterii Rapidului
Jean Valvis si visul unei societati corporatiste transparente
dar si cu
Adrian Porumboiu- experentia docet
detaliile privind suma tranzactionata pentru actiunile Rapid vor fi comunicate in prime-time...intr-o conferinta de presa la care vor participa principalii actori

UPDATE
La ProRapid s-a comandat sampanie...

09/07/2013

Where is the GOLD's minimum?

After NonFarmPayrollEverybody talks about the price of gold and wonder where it will be minimal. The yellow metal had the worst quarter in the last 45 years, going back to mid-2010 quotations. ounce price will collapse or will be an opportunity "Gold" for buyers?Almost 25% of the yellow metal lost in the quarter and 60% of the advance made in the heyday, 2009-2011, when the price ounce increased from 700 to over $ 1900. Without doubt, it is one of the darkest periods in history for gold.Major banks accuse eachother for creating this chaos. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisee have negatively revised their forecasts for 2013. The market realised for the first time in recent years that the Federal Reserve will print to infinity, real interest rates will rise, and gold will be less attractive.There are rumours that is less gold in the bank than the amount that they have sold it. If true, that means for the future of gold?Normally these  stories about gold should be ignored, because it comes from those who have an interest in the market. However, if banks had the opportunity to sell gold to other people would do it without hesitation. Can anyone believe that a bank would sell something that does not belong or is there? It would use the money to somewhere in the future and would not be punished, because it is prohibited by law. Some banks now pay cash or deferred delivery. We do not know whether it is true or not, perhaps we'll never know, but recent events support this scenario.On the other hand, investment funds are expected to increase demand globally and especially from China, which would purchase at this price up to 4,000 tons. People will say "why China buy so much Gold if the value will fall" and big players in the market will attract the audience, because in reality, the positions of hedge funds are selling at an unprecedented 240 tons or 80,000 contracts. In recent months, they say the big banks have made huge profits from selling speculative positions on gold futures market.Who is wrong? Who is right? It is the beginning of the end for gold or the beginning of a new "golden period"?
After the Fed chairman threw "Taper bomb" and after the data from the labor market shows a recovery of U.S. economy, gold could lead to $ 1,000 per ounce. It is an opportunity for buyers just under $ 1,000, the probability to be a minimum is higher.WHY? Sometimes, risk sentiment is the main factor of influence (global), other times, such as now, monetary policy (domestic). 

04/07/2013

EURO and GBP vs. DOLLAR

The largest and most influential central banks in Europe tomorow will face market pressure for additional support: QE made in Europe. Bluff Draghi has done whatever possible and succed toinverse, temporarily, the downward trend of the European currency against the dollar to 1.20 to 1.40.
ECB will not move in this session, but it may surprise the market and would be a favorable time. The main weapon is not a central bank interest rate cut, but the ability to change the vision and future market expectations. Draghi may be neutral repeating the words in previous meetings, posponing the payday which would be good for  Euro on the short-term, but the economy, despite optimistic Retail Sales, continues to struggle in recession with unemployment rate setting negative records.
Euro decline indicates a dovish Draghi, an advocate of continued policy of relaxation in an attempt to lower long-term interest. Euro could breake decisive minimum of 1.30. However,  meeting could not change direction or medium term, but short term. So, the outlook remains bearish with minor correction options. Tomorrow's NFP may have a greater influence.

BOE meeting today is likely more interesting than  Draghi's, being the first for the new Governor Carney (eg BOC - Bank of Canada), who takes over from M.King. They will announce their intention to revive the British economy, but more QE may face opposition from the members. It remains to be seen whether President BOE will resist the temptation to add support for the economy in the first session (positive for pound) or play aggressively from the start (negative for pound).
Like the EURUSD, GBPUSD is in a downtrend that can not be changed regardless the monetary policy meeting decisions. The only question is whether it will continue counter-trend started yesterday or ending it, leaving space between its maximum and the preceding minimum of 24 June (signal rapid decline).

26/06/2013

Top FOREX trading centers

I want to present you the biggest financial Forex trading centers. In spite of the fact that FOREX traders are all over the word, majority of FOREX brokers, banks and funds have centers situated in just some locations.

WHY IS SO IMPORTANT TO KNOW WITCH MARKET IS OPEN?

The biggest volumes determine oftenly strong trends for local currencies. Best example is AUD/USD: it is very active on London sesion, but the major moves it makes on Australian time.
Why is that? During the open hours economic local news is published, price is very sensitive to it because australian financial institutions trade local currency.
This way we could know what are the  moments  for important trends to develope.

TOP 4 FOREX CENTERS

I. Great Britain
Daily volume: 1854 bd $
Market share: 32%
Biggest financial center. England banks trade twice the volume of the one traded by the US financial institutions.
Active currencies: EUR/USD, GBP/USD si USD/CHF. De asemenea, perechi care se misca mult in aceasta perioada sunt AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY si USD/CAD.
II. United States of America
Daily volume: 904 bd $
Market share: 16%
On the first 3-4 US trading hours , London banks are still open and that is why we can see the biggest volume and trends.
Active currencies: The main traded currencies are the same as on London session, but USD/CAD and USD/JPY accelerate after New York opens.
III. Japan
Daily volume: 312 bd $
Market share: 9%
While japanese banks are open on forex market two important things are happening:
- EUR/USD and GBP/USD are moving slower because Europe and US are already closed
- asian currencies have a incresing movement, we include here USD/JPY, AUD/USD si NZD/USD.
IV. Singapore
Daily volume: 266 bd $
Market share: 6%
The banks of Singapore are open on the asian session, that is why big trends are developed by the same currencies as the Japanese market, you can also try to trade an exotic pair (USD/SGD), but the spread is wide. 
For the final

You can trade any currency pair you like and feel confortable with, but choose wisely the one that is chepest (low spread and commisions), most active (high volume, safe trend) and take action on your highest efficient time (do not trade when you are enthusiastic or nervous, tired or sleepy)





for suggestions, critics or whatever, I invite you to leave a comment below


19/06/2013

Analise today...take action yesterday



In order for an economy to grow, one or more of the following things must happen: the workforce must expand, earnings must increase or credit must grow. That is because, ultimately, the size of every economy is determined by the size of the population and by how much the people spend. The problem with the US economy is that none of these things is increasing enough to generate a satisfactory rate of growth. Worse still, there is little reason to believe this is going to change within the foreseeable future.

The growth rate of the US workforce has slowed sharply in recent decades and is now barely growing at all.

Meanwhile, globalization has put extreme downward pressure on US wages. Real median income was the same in 2010 as it was in 1989. With the size of the workforce slowing and median income not growing at all, the rate of growth in real disposable income has naturally been slowing as well.
From 1980 to 2007, total credit as a percentage of GDP expanded sharply. The rapid expansion of credit contributed enormously to the economic growth during recent decades. In fact, credit growth was the driver of economic growth. Even still, the credit boom was not enough to sustain the rate of economic growth. Then, in 2008, even credit ceased to expand. That occurred because the private sector simply could not bear any more debt and began to default on the debts already incurred, median income is actually falling. 

The Fed is desperately trying to make credit expand again by printing money and pushing up the value of property and stocks. Higher asset values create more collateral, which should allow more borrowing.
Asset prices have indeed begun to rise. Credit, however, is still not expanding enough to make the economy pick up. Household sector debt is still contracting and now the rate of growth of government debt is set to slow sharply due to sequestration and the recent tax increases.

Looking ahead, with almost all the recent economic data coming in weak, the Fed must feel that it has little choice but to continue printing money in order to drive property and stock prices higher, in the hope of causing credit growth to revive. Recently, the market has begun to speculate about when the Fed will begin to “taper off” the amount of money it prints each month. That speculation looks premature. 

QUANTITATIVE EASING IS THE ONLY THING KEEPING THE ECONOMY AFLOAT.

P.S. If the Fed does significantly reduce QE any time soon, a new recession would almost inevitably result. In fact, we may soon once again be in recession even if QE continues.